Convective Outlook for Oct 04, 2026
Issued as Day 1 Convective Outlook at · Valid:
Summary
No severe thunderstorms are expected across the continental United States tonight.
Product Text
000 ACUS01 KWNS 050102 SWODY1 SPC AC 050059 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0759 PM CDT Sun Oct 04 2026 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected across the continental U.S. tonight. ...Synopsis... A baroclinic zone across the Southeast U.S. continues to sag southward as a broader upper trough tracks eastward from the Great Lakes. Given the lack of stronger upper air support and the onset of nocturnal cooling/decreased buoyancy, the coverage of lightning flashes across the Southeast should continue to decrease overnight. Similarly, a plume of marginal buoyancy over CO into NM, which has supported some lightning flashes thus far, should also wane through the evening. ..Squitieri.. 10/05/2026 $$