Mesoscale Discussion 2374
Issued as Mesoscale Discussion 2374 at · Valid:
Summary
Increasingly intense thunderstorms are expected through the afternoon and early evening across portions of southern Ohio, northern Kentucky, and western West Virginia. These storms may produce isolated damaging winds with gusts up to 60 mph.
Product Text
000 ACUS11 KWNS 141948 SWOMCD SPC MCD 141947 WVZ000-PAZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-142215- Mesoscale Discussion 2374 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0247 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026 Areas affected...portions of southern Ohio...northern Kentucky...and western West Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 141947Z - 142215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and intensity through the afternoon into the early evening hours across portions of southern Ohio and adjacent areas of Kentucky and West Virginia. The strongest storms may pose a damaging wind threat, however, the overall severe weather threat is expected to remain too isolated to warrant a watch. DISCUSSION...Convection associated with a remnant MCV moving eastward across the Ohio Valley is intensifying as it moves into a modestly unstable airmass. Additionally, storms are developing along an east-west oriented cold front in southern Ohio. Although lapse rates are modest and limiting the updraft potential, deep-layer shear is sufficient to assist with storm organization and longevity. The storms will move east-southeastward through the afternoon and evening posing an isolated risk of damaging winds, especially for storms that cluster and grow upscale. The severe wind threat is expected to remain too marginal/isolated to warrant a watch, but convective trends will be monitored. ..Jirak/Guyer.. 10/14/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK... LAT...LON 38068505 38638425 39278407 40038411 40098242 40068125 39958068 39708013 39367974 38798001 38358064 37958121 37758211 37758342 38068505 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH